Perugia vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAM
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
TRI
2 - 2
PRG
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
PRG
0 - 1
COM
47%
33%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
PRG
44%
31%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 0
CAM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAV
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CAV
0 - 1
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAV
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
USC
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |