Perugia vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 2
PRG
34%
31%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
PRG
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
29%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
PRG
2 - 0
PIS
58%
27%
15%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 1
PRG
26%
31%
43%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
CAV
0 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CAV
0 - 0
PIS
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
PAL
2 - 0
CAV
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CAV
1 - 0
PES
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
RIM
0 - 0
CAV
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |