Perugia vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
PRG
67%
22%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 0
PRG
45%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PRG
4 - 1
FCV
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
LEC
12%
19%
70%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 1
FCC
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SSB
2 - 2
BEN
16%
23%
62%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FCV
3 - 0
SSB
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SSB
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 0
SSB
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |