Perugia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
USF
0 - 0
PRG
52%
28%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
USA
68%
22%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
REG
1 - 1
PRG
38%
32%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRG
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
PRG
2 - 2
PES
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAR
56%
27%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 1
SSS
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
COM
2 - 0
SPA
61%
26%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |