Perugia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
24%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
AVE
0 - 0
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
NOV
41%
32%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
PRG
61%
25%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
PRG
58%
28%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
PRG
0 - 0
TAR
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 2
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
REG
0 - 2
SPA
37%
34%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
33%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
60%
26%
14%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
AVE
0 - 2
SPA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |