Perugia vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 2
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 2
PRG
26%
29%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PRG
3 - 0
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 0
PRG
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SAV
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAV
3 - 1
SCH
59%
21%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAV
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 1
BV5
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FAN
2 - 1
SAV
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |