Perugia vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 1
ROM
37%
32%
31%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
PRG
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
VER
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
59%
26%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
58%
26%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
SAM
0 - 1
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
SAM
2 - 1
CAG
52%
29%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
VER
4 - 1
SAM
53%
28%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
FIO
0 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |