Perugia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ANC
1 - 0
PRG
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PRG
1 - 0
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
PRG
19%
24%
58%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PRG
3 - 0
GAL
69%
21%
11%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 1
PRG
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SAL
1 - 0
TER
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SSS
0 - 2
SAL
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GAL
1 - 0
SAL
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAL
1 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAL
33%
27%
39%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |