Perugia vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 0
PAD
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PRG
0 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
LAZ
2 - 2
PRG
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 1
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
LAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
REG
1 - 1
LEC
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
VNZ
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |