Perugia vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PRG
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAM
22%
30%
49%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
PIS
1 - 1
AVE
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASL
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
GEN
2 - 1
PIS
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
PIS
2 - 0
REG
22%
30%
48%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |