Perugia vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
19.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 1
PRG
26%
31%
43%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 0
VER
63%
25%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
USC
0 - 0
PRG
27%
31%
42%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
PRG
2 - 1
LEC
63%
25%
12%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CAV
0 - 0
PRG
29%
23%
48%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
USF
2 - 1
PIS
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 1
PIS
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 0
PIS
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |