Perugia vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PRG
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PRG
1 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
PRG
1 - 2
FIO
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BAR
0 - 2
PRG
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
PRG
2 - 2
LEC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PIA
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VER
1 - 0
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
PIA
2 - 2
VNZ
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
PIA
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
PIA
0 - 2
JUV
23%
27%
51%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |