Perugia vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
REG
0 - 1
PRG
50%
29%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
PRG
3 - 2
COM
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PRG
1 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 0
PRG
54%
28%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
TAR
0 - 2
PRG
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 0
FCC
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 0
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PIA
0 - 0
MOD
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 1
PIA
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
TER
0 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |