Perugia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRI
68%
22%
10%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 1
VER
36%
31%
34%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
USF
3 - 0
PAR
61%
25%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAL
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
BRI
2 - 1
PAR
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
USA
64%
24%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |