Perugia vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIS
63%
24%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PRG
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 1
COS
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 2
FIA
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
PES
0 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |