Perugia vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PRG
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
TER
3 - 2
PRG
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
PRG
5 - 1
MAT
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 16 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
PRG
4 - 0
LAQ
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
TER
1 - 1
PRG
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
PAL
1 - 0
USF
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
PAL
4 - 0
POT
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
PAL
2 - 0
NOV
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
PAL
3 - 1
GEN
37%
31%
31%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |