Perugia vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 2
PRG
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PRG
3 - 1
PES
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
POR
3 - 0
PRG
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
PRG
0 - 2
CTT
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 3
PRG
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 1
SPE
33%
29%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ASC
3 - 2
NUO
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
NUO
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
NUO
2 - 0
USC
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
ACD
1 - 0
NUO
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |