Perugia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
POT
1 - 0
PRG
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRG
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 0
PRG
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
53%
27%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 0
LAZ
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
VER
3 - 0
NOV
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |