Perugia vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PRG
3 - 0
FOL
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
REA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 3
NOC
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 2
NOC
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
NOC
2 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NOC
4 - 1
GAV
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOC
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -3 |