Perugia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CES
0 - 1
PRG
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAL
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GEN
0 - 1
PRG
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAT
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
TRE
1 - 0
PRG
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VNZ
0 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 0
PES
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
TER
2 - 1
MOD
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 0
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
PIA
1 - 0
MOD
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |