Perugia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRG
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 1
INT
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASC
56%
27%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
36%
30%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
48%
29%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
69%
21%
10%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |