Perugia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
19.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
26%
13%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
38%
32%
30%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
CAT
2 - 0
PRG
47%
31%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
32%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 1
PRG
27%
35%
37%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 1
USF
47%
31%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 1
LIV
53%
27%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
44%
31%
25%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 1
MOD
52%
30%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
60%
27%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |