Perugia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
LAZ
2 - 2
PRG
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 0
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRG
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 1
POT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
PIS
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1967 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
VER
2 - 1
MOD
48%
29%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
REG
3 - 1
MOD
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |