Perugia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
PRG
1 - 2
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VER
1 - 1
PRG
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRG
30%
29%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
25%
25%
51%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
INT
4 - 1
PRG
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
ACM
4 - 0
BAT
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
BAT
0 - 2
ACM
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ACM
5 - 2
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |