Perugia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TOR
0 - 0
PRG
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 1
ROM
62%
24%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 0
PRG
43%
30%
27%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
PRG
2 - 0
ATL
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 1
PRG
34%
32%
34%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 0
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
INT
2 - 2
ACM
42%
28%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
50%
27%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |