Perugia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
PRG
0 - 1
INT
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
NAP
1 - 1
PRG
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
PRG
0 - 0
SAM
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
PRG
0 - 0
FIO
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ACM
0 - 0
CES
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 0
ACM
22%
27%
51%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
51%
27%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ACM
0 - 0
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ACM
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |