Perugia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ANC
4 - 0
PRG
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIS
63%
24%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 1
PES
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASL
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
REG
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASL
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |