Perugia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
PRG
55%
21%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
MES
0 - 0
PRG
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 0
VNZ
61%
22%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 2
CAG
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
LIV
3 - 0
CAT
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
LIV
1 - 1
REG
41%
31%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
USF
2 - 2
LIV
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |