Perugia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
PRG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
REG
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIV
54%
28%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
LIV
3 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
LIV
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
LIV
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |