Perugia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
20.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
29%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
25.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CAV
0 - 0
PRG
29%
23%
48%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 0
RIM
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
JUV
2 - 2
PRG
77%
17%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
PRG
1 - 0
TOR
33%
30%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
PRG
1 - 0
TOR
33%
32%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
SSS
1 - 1
LEC
49%
29%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
LEC
2 - 2
COM
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAM
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
LEC
78%
16%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 0
LEC
59%
26%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |