Perugia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 2
PRG
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 1
MOD
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 1
PRG
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 1
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PRG
4 - 2
BOL
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
LAZ
2 - 0
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LAZ
2 - 2
UDI
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAZ
32%
27%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |