Perugia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
32%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
24.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRG
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
BOL
3 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
PRG
2 - 2
PIS
53%
31%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
COM
2 - 2
PRG
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAV
50%
30%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
53%
28%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
USC
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
29%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 0
LAZ
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
LAZ
2 - 2
COM
61%
26%
13%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |