Perugia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
18%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
19%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
PRG
2 - 0
PIS
58%
27%
15%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 1
PRG
26%
31%
43%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 0
VER
63%
25%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
USC
0 - 0
PRG
27%
31%
42%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
LAZ
4 - 0
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 1
LAZ
54%
26%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
LAZ
4 - 1
USF
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 0
LAZ
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
LAZ
1 - 2
SPA
67%
22%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |