Perugia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
PRG
4 - 2
LEC
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 1
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
PRG
0 - 0
COM
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
PRG
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
REG
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
31%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LEC
66%
23%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
41%
31%
28%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
LAZ
0 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |