Perugia vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 1
PRG
42%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 2
TRA
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 0
SPE
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 2
PRG
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 1
MOD
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAT
53%
26%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 3
CAG
21%
27%
53%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAT
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 0
LEO
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |