Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Perugia vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 2
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
PRG
3 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
PRG
3 - 3
SAM
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 2
JUV
19%
25%
56%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
JUV
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
SIE
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |