Perugia vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
CAS
1 - 0
PRG
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
PRG
1 - 1
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
PRG
28%
30%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
PRG
2 - 1
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1998 |
RAV
0 - 2
JUV
14%
25%
62%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
JUV
1 - 2
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1998 |
RMA
1 - 0
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
ATL
1 - 1
JUV
19%
24%
57%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
JUV
3 - 2
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |