Perugia vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
INT
3 - 2
PRG
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
PRG
0 - 0
ASC
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
FIO
0 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
PRG
0 - 3
ARI
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
37%
31%
32%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
AVE
1 - 0
JUV
19%
31%
50%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
INT
1 - 2
JUV
51%
27%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAG
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
JUV
3 - 0
BER
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |