Perugia vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
VIC
1 - 1
PRG
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
PRG
3 - 1
BOL
62%
24%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 1
VER
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
FIO
1 - 2
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
INT
2 - 0
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
34%
29%
37%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
INT
0 - 0
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |