Perugia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
58%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
PRG
1 - 3
FIO
11%
21%
68%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
PRG
2 - 0
USC
32%
31%
37%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PRG
0 - 1
CES
32%
30%
39%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
ATL
1 - 2
GEN
53%
26%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
GEN
1 - 1
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
69%
19%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |