Perugia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
PRG
3 - 2
ARZ
64%
24%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
PRG
39%
33%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
USA
1 - 0
GEN
49%
30%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 1
GEN
55%
29%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
USF
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |