Perugia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 1
LIV
60%
26%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
PIA
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
REG
0 - 1
PRG
50%
29%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIV
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
COM
1 - 1
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 0
ASS
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
USF
2 - 2
GEN
66%
23%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 1
GEN
67%
23%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |