Perugia vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
PRG
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PRG
0 - 1
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 2
PRG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
TER
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
PRG
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FRO
2 - 0
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
FRO
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 3
FRO
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FRO
4 - 0
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ASS
3 - 2
FRO
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |