Perugia vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ACS
0 - 0
PRG
15%
25%
60%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIS
76%
18%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
PRG
0 - 0
MAS
84%
13%
3%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
USF
2 - 0
PRG
15%
25%
60%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
VIR
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
FRO
0 - 0
GEL
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
JUS
2 - 0
FRO
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
FRO
0 - 1
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SSM
2 - 3
FRO
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |