Perugia vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 0
PRG
37%
29%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRG
1 - 2
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
PRG
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PRG
0 - 1
SOR
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PRG
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 1
ASF
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRO
4 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
USA
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |