Perugia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
PRG
1 - 0
VIC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
PAR
5 - 0
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
PRG
0 - 1
LAZ
25%
25%
49%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 2
PRG
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
PRG
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
BAR
2 - 1
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 2
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
FIO
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 0
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |