Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-4
Perugia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
67.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
PRG
2 - 0
USC
32%
31%
37%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PRG
0 - 1
CES
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
PIA
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
40%
29%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
FIO
4 - 2
NAP
33%
29%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
SAM
2 - 0
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
44%
29%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |