Perugia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
GEN
2 - 0
PRG
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
PRG
3 - 2
ROM
49%
28%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 1
PRG
42%
30%
27%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
PRG
0 - 0
TAR
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
PRG
1 - 1
PES
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
S04
2 - 1
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 2
VER
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
USF
1 - 1
FIO
32%
30%
38%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
FIO
0 - 3
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 1
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |