Perugia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PRG
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 1
TOR
25%
32%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 0
PRG
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 2
NAP
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
FIO
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
NAP
1 - 2
FIO
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
VER
1 - 2
FIO
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAG
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |