Perugia vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 3
PRG
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PRG
3 - 1
RAV
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 1
PRG
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 2
VIR
75%
18%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 0
IMO
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
SSS
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 3
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ASG
1 - 1
FER
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |